Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?

Open · Resolves in 24 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

29.5%

24h Change

-11.0 pp

Signal Score

40/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 11.0pp; volume is 1.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 11.0pp
24h volume is 1.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $49,785

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

29.5%

24h Change

-11.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

166 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	30.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	30.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	38.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$35.3K

Volume vs Baseline

1.7x baseline

Liquidity

$49.8K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 24 days

End Date

Sep 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 40/100.

Probability Momentum 37

Volume Activity 32

Liquidity Quality 83

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗