Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?

Open · Resolves in 21 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

51.5%

24h Change

-20.0 pp

Signal Score

74/100

Data Confidence

High (82)

24h probability fell 20.0pp; volume is 6.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 16 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 07:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 20.0pp
24h volume is 6.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $36,932

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

51.5%

24h Change

-20.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

169 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 07:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM	54.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM	54.0%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM	53.5%
8/10/2026, 10:30:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM	53.0%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	56.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	72.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$54.2K

Volume vs Baseline

6.9x baseline

Liquidity

$36.9K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 21 days

End Date

Sep 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 74/100.

Probability Momentum 67

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 84

Persistence 43

Data Confidence High (82)

Next Steps

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