Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)

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Current Probability

37.5%

24h Change

-10.0 pp

Signal Score

43/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 10.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 22:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $71,384
High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

37.5%

24h Change

-10.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 10:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM	37.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM	53.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	46.0%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	47.0%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	47.0%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	47.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-11.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$252.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$71.4K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.

Probability Momentum 33

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 95

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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