San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+50.5 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability rose 50.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 04:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $607,730
High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+50.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

136 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 04:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM	100.0%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	96.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	77.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM	49.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+22.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$545.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$607.7K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 14, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 97

Persistence 67

Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

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