Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

18.5%

24h Change

-24.0 pp

Signal Score

63/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 24.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 04:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $163,577
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 18.5% · Aug 8, 04:15 AM

15% 37% 59% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 8 Current 18.5% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

18.5%

24h Change

-24.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

161 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 04:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM 18.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM 46.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 43.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 43.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 43.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 43.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 41.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-37.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$784.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$163.6K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 14, 2026

Attention Score

44

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 63/100.

Probability Momentum 80
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 99
Persistence 79
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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