Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

5.5%

24h Change

-24.0 pp

Signal Score

65/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 24.0pp

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 23:50 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $170,835
  • High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 5.5% · Aug 7, 11:45 PM

3% 18% 32% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 5.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

5.5%

24h Change

-24.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

155 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM 5.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 28.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 28.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 28.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 29.0%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 29.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-23.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$571.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$170.8K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 14, 2026

Attention Score

44

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 65/100.

Probability Momentum 80
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 98
Persistence 98
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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