Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

53.5%

24h Change

+13.5 pp

Signal Score

48/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 13.5pp

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 23:50 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $267,753
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 53.5% · Aug 7, 11:45 PM

38% 47% 55% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 53.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

53.5%

24h Change

+13.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

155 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 39.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+12.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$193.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$267.8K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 14, 2026

Attention Score

32

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 48/100.

Probability Momentum 45
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 93
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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