Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

62.5%

24h Change

+12.0 pp

Signal Score

41/100

Data Confidence

High (75)

24h probability rose 12.0pp

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 23:50 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $73,626
  • High data confidence (75)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 62.5% · Aug 7, 11:45 PM

52% 57% 64% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 62.5% · 6d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

62.5%

24h Change

+12.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

156 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM 62.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM 56.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 52.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+5.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$100.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$73.6K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 14, 2026

Attention Score

30

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 41/100.

Probability Momentum 40
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 65
Data Confidence High (75)

Next Steps

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