Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

41.5%

24h Change

+4.0 pp

Signal Score

31/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability rose 4.0pp

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 23:50 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $6,352
  • High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 41.5% · Aug 7, 11:45 PM

36% 39% 42% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 41.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

41.5%

24h Change

+4.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

155 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM 41.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 38.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 38.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 37.0%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 37.0%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 37.0%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 37.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$187.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$6.4K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 14, 2026

Attention Score

21

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 31/100.

Probability Momentum 13
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 83
Persistence 85
Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

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