Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

93.5%

24h Change

+45.0 pp

Signal Score

68/100

Data Confidence

High (75)

24h probability rose 45.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 04:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $204,535
High data confidence (75)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

93.5%

24h Change

+45.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

160 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 04:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM	93.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	79.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	77.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	46.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	46.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	46.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+16.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$202.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$204.5K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 68/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 61

Data Confidence High (75)

Next Steps

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