Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

96.0%

24h Change

+46.5 pp

Signal Score

69/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability rose 46.5pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 04:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $150,042
  • High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 96.0% · Aug 8, 04:15 AM

40% 70% 100% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 8 Current 96.0% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

96.0%

24h Change

+46.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

161 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 04:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM 96.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 88.0%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 77.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+18.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$345.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$150.0K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 69/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 64
Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

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