Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 8?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

99.6%

24h Change

+37.1 pp

Signal Score

59/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability rose 37.1pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $31,957
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

99.6%

24h Change

+37.1 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	99.6%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	99.7%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	99.3%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	98.9%
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM	98.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	98.7%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	98.4%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	98.6%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	98.7%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	98.4%
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM	98.2%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	98.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	98.6%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	98.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	97.9%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	92.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	90.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	92.5%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM	94.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	92.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	90.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	90.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	93.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	86.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$109.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$32.0K

Market Significance

High (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 59/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗