Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles
Current Probability
20.5%
24h Change
-22.9 pp
Signal Score
47/100
Data Confidence
Medium (57)
24h probability fell 22.9pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Low liquidity ($183)
- Medium data confidence (57)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
20.5%
24h Change
-22.9 pp
7d Change
Only 2d of listing history
Coverage
2d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/3/2026, 9:15:00 AM | 20.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 20.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM | 20.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 20.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM | 20.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 20.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 20.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 20.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 25.1% |
| 8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 20.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 0.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 21.0% |
| 8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 17.5% |
| 8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 10.5% |
| 8/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 18.0% |
| 8/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 53.0% |
| 8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 41.0% |
| 8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 45.5% |
| 8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 31.5% |
| 8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 46.5% |
| 8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 45.5% |
| 8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 44.5% |
| 8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 43.5% |
| 8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 43.5% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Only 2d of listing history
24h Volume
$63.5K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$183
Market Significance
Moderate (63)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 2, 2026
Attention Score
36
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 47/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 77
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 66
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 20
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability Medium (57)