Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 15:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $360,689

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 2, 03:45 PM

0% 37% 74% Aug 1 Aug 2 Aug 2 Aug 2 Current 0.1% · 17h of stored history · 18 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

17h of stored history

18 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 03:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM 0.1%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM 67.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM 57.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-67.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$177.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$360.7K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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