UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

75.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

Medium (70)

24h probability rose 1.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 04:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $188,849
Medium data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

75.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

151 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 04:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM	75.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	74.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$41.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$188.8K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 3

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (70)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗