Warsaw: Amelia Paszun vs Weronika Falkowska

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

14.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

Signal Score

25/100

Data Confidence

Medium (64)

24h probability rose 2.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 10:56 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $63,041
Medium data confidence (64)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

14.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

37 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 10:45 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 10:45:00 AM	14.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	9.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	9.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	9.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	11.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	11.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	11.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	11.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	11.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM	12.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+5.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$51.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$63.0K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 25/100.

Probability Momentum 7

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 64

Data Confidence Medium (64)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗