Warsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha Akugue

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-40.5 pp

Signal Score

74/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 40.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 10:56 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $132,935
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-40.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

39 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 10:45 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 10:45:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/3/2026, 9:15:00 AM	35.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	42.0%
8/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM	43.0%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	41.0%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	41.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-41.9 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$596.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$132.9K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 74/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 98

Persistence 98

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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