PR Prediction Radar

Warsaw: Weronika Ewald vs Justina Mikulskyte

Open · Resolves in 5 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

20.5%

24h Change

-21.0 pp

Signal Score

59/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 21.0pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 10:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $361,471
  • Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 20.5% · Aug 4, 10:15 AM

18% 32% 46% Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 4 Aug 4 Current 20.5% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

20.5%

24h Change

-21.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

61 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 10:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/4/2026, 10:15:00 AM 20.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM 32.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM 41.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-23.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$42.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$361.5K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 5 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

38

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 59/100.

Probability Momentum 70
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 95
Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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