LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

43.5%

24h Change

-5.0 pp

Signal Score

33/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability fell 5.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $229,608
  • High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 43.5% · Aug 8, 08:00 AM

43% 48% 52% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 43.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

43.5%

24h Change

-5.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

153 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-8.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$152.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$229.6K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

23

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 33/100.

Probability Momentum 17
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 78
Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

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