National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+68.5 pp

Signal Score

72/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability rose 68.5pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $814,659
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+68.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

44 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM	100.0%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	14.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	13.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	34.0%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	30.0%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	30.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	30.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	30.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	32.0%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	31.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+85.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$227.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$814.7K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 72/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 94

Persistence 88

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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