National Bank Open: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudee

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

32.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

Signal Score

22/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 4.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 09:27 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $40,398
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

32.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

32 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 09:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 9:15:00 AM	32.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM	32.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM	32.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM	32.0%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	34.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$64.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$40.4K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 22/100.

Probability Momentum 13

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 85

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗