National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

54.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

30/100

Data Confidence

Medium (66)

24h probability fell 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $258,572
Medium data confidence (66)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

54.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

50 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM	54.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	56.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	56.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	56.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	56.5%
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM	55.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	55.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	57.0%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	55.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	55.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	55.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	55.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	55.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	55.5%
8/3/2026, 10:45:00 AM	55.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/3/2026, 9:15:00 AM	58.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM	58.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	58.0%
8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM	58.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	59.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-5.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$153.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$258.6K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 30/100.

Probability Momentum 10

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 76

Data Confidence Medium (66)

Next Steps

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