National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaier

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

60.5%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

Signal Score

20/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability rose 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 09:27 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $54,743
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

60.5%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

32 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 09:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 9:15:00 AM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	57.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$41.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$54.7K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 20/100.

Probability Momentum 10

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 84

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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