National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

71.5%

24h Change

+21.0 pp

Signal Score

47/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability rose 21.0pp

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 18:27 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $149,889
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

71.5%

24h Change

+21.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

43 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 06:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM	71.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	71.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/3/2026, 10:45:00 AM	72.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/3/2026, 9:15:00 AM	72.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM	72.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM	72.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	73.0%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	73.0%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	74.0%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM	73.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$138.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$149.9K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 47/100.

Probability Momentum 70

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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