National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

50.0%

24h Change

-1.5 pp

Signal Score

18/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 1.5pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $313,113
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

50.0%

24h Change

-1.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

44 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM	50.0%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	53.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	44.0%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	44.0%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	51.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+6.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$242.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$313.1K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 18/100.

Probability Momentum 5

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 94

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗