Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

59.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

18/100

Data Confidence

Medium (62)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 18:27 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability was effectively unchanged
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $443,756

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

59.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

45 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 06:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM	59.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	63.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 10:45:00 AM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 9:15:00 AM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM	62.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$517.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$443.8K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 18/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 97

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (62)

Next Steps

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