National Bank Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Maya Joint

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

80.5%

24h Change

+23.5 pp

Signal Score

58/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability rose 23.5pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $408,792
Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

80.5%

24h Change

+23.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

44 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM	80.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	81.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	57.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+8.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$191.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$408.8K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 58/100.

Probability Momentum 78

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 60

Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

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