National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

34.5%

24h Change

-24.0 pp

Signal Score

63/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 24.0pp

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 18:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $445,846
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

34.5%

24h Change

-24.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

63 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 06:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM	34.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	46.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM	59.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	58.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-27.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$84.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$445.8K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 63/100.

Probability Momentum 80

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 93

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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