LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

86.5%

24h Change

+20.0 pp

Signal Score

58/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 20.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $194,369
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 86.5% · Aug 8, 08:00 AM

65% 77% 89% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 86.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

86.5%

24h Change

+20.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

143 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 86.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 70.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 70.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 70.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 69.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 69.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 68.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 68.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 68.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 68.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 68.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 68.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 67.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 66.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+17.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$255.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$194.4K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

39

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 58/100.

Probability Momentum 67
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 91
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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