LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-31.9 pp

Signal Score

75/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 31.9pp

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 10:39 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $680,940
  • High data confidence (80)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 9, 10:30 AM

0% 18% 36% Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-31.9 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

165 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 10:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM 0.1%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 2.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 31.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 31.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM 31.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM 31.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM 31.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM 31.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM 30.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM 30.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM 30.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM 30.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 30.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 30.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 31.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 32.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 32.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 32.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 32.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-31.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$704.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$680.9K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

50

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 75/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 98
Persistence 99
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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