Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+52.5 pp

Signal Score

86/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability rose 52.5pp; volume is 59.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 12:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 52.5pp
  • 24h volume is 59.1x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $202,740

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 9, 12:45 PM

42% 71% 100% Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+52.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

168 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 12:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 12:45:00 PM 100.0%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM 84.0%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 68.0%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 47.0%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$88.2K

Volume vs Baseline

59.1x baseline

Liquidity

$202.7K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

98

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 86/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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