The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+51.0 pp

Signal Score

68/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability rose 51.0pp

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 18:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $114,723
  • Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 4, 06:15 PM

27% 63% 100% Aug 3 Aug 4 Aug 4 Aug 4 Current 100.0% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+51.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

51 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 06:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM 100.0%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM 82.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM 67.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM 60.0%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM 52.0%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM 52.0%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM 52.0%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM 51.0%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM 51.0%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM 51.0%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM 49.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+17.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$162.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$114.7K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 68/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 61
Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

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