Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 9?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

2.6%

24h Change

-14.4 pp

Signal Score

35/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 14.4pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $17,798
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

2.6%

24h Change

-14.4 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

150 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM	2.6%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	2.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	2.4%
8/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM	2.6%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	3.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	4.3%
8/8/2026, 2:30:00 PM	4.7%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	4.7%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	5.3%
8/8/2026, 12:45:00 PM	5.1%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	6.3%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	5.7%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	7.3%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	5.7%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	4.3%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	3.4%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	4.2%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	3.4%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	5.0%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	7.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.2 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$65.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$17.8K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 35/100.

Probability Momentum 48

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 82

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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