Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 9?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

97.4%

24h Change

+16.9 pp

Signal Score

45/100

Data Confidence

High (72)

24h probability rose 16.9pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 12:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $18,398
High data confidence (72)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

97.4%

24h Change

+16.9 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

167 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 12:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 12:45:00 PM	97.4%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	96.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	95.5%
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM	95.0%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	95.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	90.5%
8/9/2026, 8:45:00 AM	90.0%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	91.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	92.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	84.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	81.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	81.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	82.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	82.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	85.0%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	82.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	82.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	85.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	86.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	84.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.9 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$53.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$18.4K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 45/100.

Probability Momentum 56

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 81

Persistence 47

Data Confidence High (72)

Next Steps

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