Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 9?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

96.7%

24h Change

+3.2 pp

Signal Score

25/100

Data Confidence

High (72)

24h probability rose 3.2pp

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 07:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $18,260
High data confidence (72)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

96.7%

24h Change

+3.2 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

159 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 07:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	96.7%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	96.0%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	96.2%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	95.3%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	94.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	95.9%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	96.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	97.0%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	96.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	96.9%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	96.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	95.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	94.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	93.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	91.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	89.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	89.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	90.0%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	90.0%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	88.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	88.0%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	86.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	87.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	91.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.7 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$29.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$18.3K

Market Significance

Moderate (66)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 25/100.

Probability Momentum 11

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 79

Persistence 54

Data Confidence High (72)

Next Steps

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