Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

97.7%

24h Change

+14.7 pp

Signal Score

41/100

Data Confidence

High (72)

24h probability rose 14.7pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $23,825
High data confidence (72)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

97.7%

24h Change

+14.7 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

150 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM	97.7%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	97.8%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	97.5%
8/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM	97.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	96.9%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	95.7%
8/8/2026, 2:30:00 PM	95.3%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	95.0%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	94.8%
8/8/2026, 12:45:00 PM	95.0%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	93.8%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	93.9%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	93.8%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	92.8%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	95.2%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	96.0%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	96.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	96.3%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	96.3%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	95.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	94.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	94.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	93.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	93.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$126.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$23.8K

Market Significance

High (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 41/100.

Probability Momentum 49

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 41

Data Confidence High (72)

Next Steps

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