Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?

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Current Probability

17.0%

24h Change

-36.5 pp

Signal Score

91/100

Data Confidence

High (84)

24h probability fell 36.5pp; volume is 380.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 02:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 36.5pp
  • 24h volume is 380.7x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $101,731

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 17.0% · Aug 12, 02:15 AM

13% 35% 57% Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 12 Current 17.0% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

17.0%

24h Change

-36.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

143 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM 17.0%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 31.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 21.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM 53.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-4.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$210.8K

Volume vs Baseline

380.7x baseline

Liquidity

$101.7K

Market Significance

High (83)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

99

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 91/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 47
Data Confidence High (84)

Next Steps

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