Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-12?

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Current Probability

42.5%

24h Change

-10.5 pp

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability fell 10.5pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 22:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $152,711
High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

42.5%

24h Change

-10.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 10:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM	42.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	53.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	53.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-8.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$133.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$152.7K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 35

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 86

Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

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