Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

28.5%

24h Change

-18.5 pp

Signal Score

56/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 18.5pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $51,628
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 28.5% · Aug 3, 11:45 PM

26% 39% 51% Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Current 28.5% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

28.5%

24h Change

-18.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

28 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM 28.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM 47.0%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM 46.0%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM 46.0%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM 47.0%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM 47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-18.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$144.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$51.6K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 3, 2026

Attention Score

36

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 56/100.

Probability Momentum 62
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 98
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.