Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?

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Current Probability

50.5%

24h Change

+2.5 pp

Signal Score

31/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 2.5pp

Market data

Updated 21 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 12:30 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $132,221
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 50.5% · Aug 7, 12:30 PM

47% 50% 53% Aug 6 Aug 6 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 50.5% · 4d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

50.5%

24h Change

+2.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

110 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 12:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM 50.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 48.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM 50.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 51.0%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 52.0%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM 51.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 50.0%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM 50.0%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM 50.0%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM 47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$326.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$132.2K

Market Significance

High (84)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

22

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 31/100.

Probability Momentum 8
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 88
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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