Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9?

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.4%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

27/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 09:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability was effectively unchanged
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $27,606

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.4% · Aug 7, 09:30 AM

0% 3% 1% Aug 6 Aug 6 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 0.4% · 4d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

0.4%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

103 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 09:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM 0.4%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM 0.4%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM 0.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.6%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.5%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.6%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$38.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$27.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

16

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 27/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 81
Persistence 100
Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

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