Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.5%

24h Change

-0.8 pp

Signal Score

23/100

Data Confidence

High (74)

24h probability fell 0.8pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $38,914
High data confidence (74)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.5%

24h Change

-0.8 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

129 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM	0.8%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.7%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.7%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM	0.8%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM	0.9%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	1.1%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	1.1%
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM	1.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.2 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$163.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$38.9K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 23/100.

Probability Momentum 3

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 56

Data Confidence High (74)

Next Steps

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