Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

1.5%

24h Change

-1.3 pp

Signal Score

16/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 1.3pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $19,992
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

1.5%

24h Change

-1.3 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

127 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	1.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	1.2%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	1.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	1.6%
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM	1.8%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	1.9%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	1.3%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	1.8%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	1.7%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	1.7%
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM	1.7%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	1.8%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	2.3%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	1.8%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	1.8%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	1.8%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	1.8%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	2.2%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM	2.3%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	2.1%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	2.2%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	3.8%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	5.3%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	4.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.3 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$97.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$20.0K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.

Probability Momentum 4

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 84

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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