Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

7.5%

24h Change

-14.5 pp

Signal Score

35/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 14.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 10:39 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $21,888
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

7.5%

24h Change

-14.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

157 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 10:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM	7.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 8:45:00 AM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	9.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	9.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	10.0%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	11.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	12.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	12.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	11.0%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	17.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	19.0%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	18.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	18.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	22.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	22.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	24.0%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	27.5%
8/8/2026, 2:30:00 PM	26.0%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	19.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$41.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$21.9K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 35/100.

Probability Momentum 48

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 81

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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