Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3?
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 3?
Current Probability
1.1%
24h Change
-42.4 pp
Signal Score
12/100
Data Confidence
Low (32)
Signal passed quality checks
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h history insufficient for probability change
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $5,411
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
1.1%
24h Change
-42.4 pp
7d Change
Only 1d of listing history
Coverage
19h of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM | 1.1% |
| 8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 1.4% |
| 8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 2.2% |
| 8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 1.7% |
| 8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 2.4% |
| 8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 2.4% |
| 8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM | 4.0% |
| 8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 2.2% |
| 8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 2.9% |
| 8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 5.0% |
| 8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 5.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 14.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 43.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 55.0% |
| 8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 43.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 37.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 63.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 61.5% |
| 8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 53.0% |
| 8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 44.0% |
| 8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 47.0% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-1.1 pp
7d Change
Only 1d of listing history
24h Volume
$78.9K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$5.4K
Market Significance
Moderate (65)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Attention Score
16
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 12/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 0
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 79
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 0
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability Low (32)