Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 3-9?
Current Probability
0.3%
24h Change
-0.7 pp
Signal Score
21/100
Data Confidence
High (72)
24h probability fell 0.7pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $23,484
- High data confidence (72)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
0.3%
24h Change
-0.7 pp
7d Change
Only 5d of listing history
Coverage
5d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 0.3% |
| 8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 0.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 0.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 0.5% |
| 8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 0.5% |
| 8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 0.5% |
| 8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 0.5% |
| 8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 0.6% |
| 8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 0.6% |
| 8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 0.6% |
| 8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 0.6% |
| 8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM | 0.6% |
| 8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 0.6% |
| 8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 0.6% |
| 8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 0.6% |
| 8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 0.8% |
| 8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM | 0.9% |
| 8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 0.8% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Only 5d of listing history
24h Volume
$49.1K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$23.5K
Market Significance
Moderate (68)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 2 days
End Date
Aug 10, 2026
Attention Score
17
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 2
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 82
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 49
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (72)