Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 3-9?

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.3%

24h Change

-0.7 pp

Signal Score

21/100

Data Confidence

High (72)

24h probability fell 0.7pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $23,484
  • High data confidence (72)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.3% · Aug 8, 08:00 AM

0% 3% 1% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 0.3% · 5d of stored history · 28 pts

Current

0.3%

24h Change

-0.7 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

127 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.3%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 0.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 0.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.6%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.6%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.6%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.6%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM 0.6%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.6%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.6%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 0.6%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.8%
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM 0.9%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.8%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$49.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$23.5K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

17

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.

Probability Momentum 2
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 82
Persistence 49
Data Confidence High (72)

Next Steps

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