Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9?

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.4%

24h Change

-1.9 pp

Signal Score

18/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 1.9pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $29,005
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.4%

24h Change

-1.9 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

124 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.9%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.9%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.9%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	1.3%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	1.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	1.7%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	1.9%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	1.9%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	1.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	1.7%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	1.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	1.8%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	2.6%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	2.1%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	2.8%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	3.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	1.9%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	2.2%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	1.9%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$36.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$29.0K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 18/100.

Probability Momentum 6

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 81

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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