Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

2.6%

24h Change

-6.9 pp

Signal Score

29/100

Data Confidence

High (72)

24h probability fell 6.9pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $16,089
High data confidence (72)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

2.6%

24h Change

-6.9 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

128 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	2.6%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	3.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	4.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM	4.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	4.6%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	3.6%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	3.4%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	4.0%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	5.0%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	5.0%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	6.0%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	4.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	6.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	6.0%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	11.0%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	14.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	22.0%
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM	24.0%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	11.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.9 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$45.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$16.1K

Market Significance

Moderate (66)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 29/100.

Probability Momentum 23

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 80

Persistence 48

Data Confidence High (72)

Next Steps

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