Will Young Boys Bern win on 2026-08-08?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-48.4 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 48.4pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $105,651
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 8, 06:30 PM

0% 32% 63% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 0.1% · 5d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-48.4 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

123 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM 0.1%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 51.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 54.0%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 50.0%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 50.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 49.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 49.0%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-51.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$116.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$105.7K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 97
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.