Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 10?

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Current Probability

12.0%

24h Change

-66.0 pp

Signal Score

66/100

Data Confidence

High (73)

24h probability fell 66.0pp

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 15:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Low liquidity ($3,914)
  • High data confidence (73)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 12.0% · Aug 10, 03:00 PM

4% 52% 99% Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 10 Aug 10 Current 12.0% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

12.0%

24h Change

-66.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

165 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 03:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM 12.0%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM 90.0%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 86.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 83.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 91.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 88.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 90.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 84.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 75.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 76.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 82.0%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM 84.0%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM 68.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM 74.0%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 80.0%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 75.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 76.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 76.0%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 77.0%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 77.0%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 78.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-27.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$78.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$3.9K

Market Significance

Moderate (64)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

46

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 66/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 78
Persistence 65
Data Confidence High (73)

Next Steps

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